Of the 50 states and the District of Columbia (n = 51), 8 of them (7 states--Maryland, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Illinois, New Jersey, New York, and Rhode Island--and the District of Columbia) had already surpassed the best-estimate prediction of the cumulative number of deaths. Clearly, given that they had surpassed these predictions by May 5 even though the predicted numbers were not supposed to be reached until July 30, the prediction was significantly too low in these states. In other words, 8/51 = about 15.7% of the included states had surpassed the cumulative predicted number of deaths almost three months earlier than expected. Of these 8 states, 2 of them (25% of the states that had already surpassed the predicted number of deaths, and 2/51 = 3.9% of the total) had surpassed even the IHME's upper bound prediction. In total, of the 51 included regions in the current study, 24 of them (24/51 = 47.1%) had surpassed the IHME's lower bound prediction. These 24 included the aforementioned 8 regions that had surpassed the IHME's best-estimate prediction, as well as 16 that had not. The remaining 27 states had not yet even surpassed the IHME's lower bound. Figure 1, below, illustrates this pattern of results in a map.